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Does AI make teams more productive? What controlled studies actually measured

Solnix MediaOct 26, 20267 min read

14%

more customer issues resolved per hour with an AI assistant; 34% for novice agents

Source: Erik Brynjolfsson, Danielle Li, Lindsey R. Raymond · NBER

Most AI productivity claims come from vendors. The studies below are different: researchers gave AI to some workers and not others, then measured the output. They show where AI reliably helps, who gains most, and the kind of task where it quietly makes results worse.

SUPPORT ISSUES RESOLVED PER HOUR+34%for novice agents with an AI assistantWithout AIBaselineWith AI, all agents+14%With AI, novice agents+34%5,179 support agents · NBER working paper 31161
01

Customer support: biggest gains for the newest people

Brynjolfsson, Li and Raymond studied 5,179 customer support agents at a software company as an AI assistant was rolled out. Access to the tool increased productivity, measured as issues resolved per hour, by 14% on average, including a 34% improvement for novice and low-skilled workers, with little effect on the most experienced agents [1]. Customer sentiment improved and fewer agents quit.

Stanford HAI's summary of the study puts the onboarding effect plainly: agents with two months of tenure who used the tool performed as well as agents with six months of tenure who did not [2]. The assistant spread what the best agents already knew.

02

Knowledge work: better, until it isn't

Boston Consulting Group ran an experiment with 758 of its consultants. On a creative product innovation task, around 90% of participants improved their performance with GPT-4, and as a group they reached a level about 40% higher than those working without it [3].

On a business problem-solving task chosen to sit outside the model's competence, consultants using GPT-4 performed 23% worse than those without it [3]. The answers looked convincing, so people accepted them.

03

What this means for a business deciding where to use AI

  • Put AI first where work is repetitive and the best answer is already known by your strongest people: support replies, intake, first drafts, data entry.
  • Expect the largest lift for new hires and junior staff; plan onboarding around it.
  • Keep a person reviewing judgment calls, numbers and anything the model can sound sure about while being wrong.
  • Measure before and after on one metric per workflow, as these studies did, instead of relying on how the tool feels.

Sources

  1. [1]Generative AI at Work (NBER Working Paper 31161) · Erik Brynjolfsson, Danielle Li, Lindsey R. Raymond · NBER
  2. [2]Will Generative AI Make You More Productive at Work? Yes, But Only If You're Not Already Great at Your Job · Stanford HAI
  3. [3]How People Can Create, and Destroy, Value with Generative AI · Boston Consulting Group

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