Does AI make teams more productive? What controlled studies actually measured
Customer support: biggest gains for the newest people
Brynjolfsson, Li and Raymond studied 5,179 customer support agents at a software company as an AI assistant was rolled out. Access to the tool increased productivity, measured as issues resolved per hour, by 14% on average, including a 34% improvement for novice and low-skilled workers, with little effect on the most experienced agents [1]. Customer sentiment improved and fewer agents quit.
Stanford HAI's summary of the study puts the onboarding effect plainly: agents with two months of tenure who used the tool performed as well as agents with six months of tenure who did not [2]. The assistant spread what the best agents already knew.
Knowledge work: better, until it isn't
Boston Consulting Group ran an experiment with 758 of its consultants. On a creative product innovation task, around 90% of participants improved their performance with GPT-4, and as a group they reached a level about 40% higher than those working without it [3].
On a business problem-solving task chosen to sit outside the model's competence, consultants using GPT-4 performed 23% worse than those without it [3]. The answers looked convincing, so people accepted them.
What this means for a business deciding where to use AI
- Put AI first where work is repetitive and the best answer is already known by your strongest people: support replies, intake, first drafts, data entry.
- Expect the largest lift for new hires and junior staff; plan onboarding around it.
- Keep a person reviewing judgment calls, numbers and anything the model can sound sure about while being wrong.
- Measure before and after on one metric per workflow, as these studies did, instead of relying on how the tool feels.
Sources
- [1]Generative AI at Work (NBER Working Paper 31161) · Erik Brynjolfsson, Danielle Li, Lindsey R. Raymond · NBER
- [2]Will Generative AI Make You More Productive at Work? Yes, But Only If You're Not Already Great at Your Job · Stanford HAI
- [3]How People Can Create, and Destroy, Value with Generative AI · Boston Consulting Group
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